Thursday, October 27, 2011

Andrew's Redemption


First off, I want to apologize to any readers out there who listened to my predictions- I based my picks off of the wrong stats (for example: WAS was top 5 in points allowed, but Cam Newton was also a top 5 QB). Also, I made a rookie mistake on the TB vs CHI game- I picked TB based on the fact that they have won close games at home this season, but completely forgot that their ‘home’ game was across the pond in England (wow, blonde moment?). Anyway, to steal a line from Wes Mantooth, of Anchorman fame, “This week we spell redemption D-R-E-W”.

Arizona @ Baltimore: Teams are actually even on offense, but Baltimore’s defense will make Kevin Kolb (not gonna lie, I had to look up on ESPN who the starting QB is now) look like a rookie. Also, do you really think Baltimore isn’t going to show up huge after the flop against Jacksonville?
BALTIMORE

Minnesota @ Carolina: Okay, I’ll admit it. I slept on Cam Newton last week, thinking a respectable defense could keep him in check. NOPE. This week, they’re playing a mediocre (at best) Minnesota team, that is in such disarray that Christian Ponder has replaced Donavan McNabb. Both defenses are comparable, but the fact remains that Cam Newton is the absolute X-factor in this matchup. In addition, since there will be a home crowd helping Cam if he makes a rookie mistake or two, Carolina is the definite favorite here.
CAROLINA

Jacksonville @ Houston: Jacksonville, on average, allows over 100 rushing yards per game. Houston has Arian Foster, and they’re coming off a HUGE win over division rival Tennessee. Blaine Gabbert is respectable as an NFL QB, but the win over Baltimore was a fluke, because the Ravens offense failed to do ANYTHING until the 4th quarter.
HOUSTON

Miami @ NY Giants: Miami will get at least one win this year. Unfortunately, the Giants aren’t in a position to overlook any opponents, and do you really think a team with two rushing TD’s will be able to control the ball anywhere (let alone on the road)?
NY GIANTS

New Orlean @ St. Louis: This could be a trap game for the Saints, IF New Orleans was undefeated & their defense actually could shut down other teams. The defense hasn’t been playing as well as it could over the last couple of games, the Saints AREN’T undefeated, and therefore, St. Louis is in for a world of hurt.
NEW ORLEANS

Indianapolis @ Tennessee: Division matchups usually give the home team about a touchdown head-start. Seeing as the Colts are winless so far, I don’t see them picking up an important first win at a team that they’ve been oppressing for the last decade or so.
TENNESSEE

Washington @ Buffalo: Both defenses are awful, but Buffalo is coming off a bye week & has more talent on offense than John Beck & the second-strings. Also, so I don’t make the same mistake as last week, I noticed that the game is actually in Toronto; this will keep a decent home field advantage for Buffalo, seeing as they are right across the border & there are a ton of Buffalo fans in Canada (makes sense, since they are the closest team for people from Toronto). In related news, people in Vancouver still prefer watching the Grey Cup over the Seahawks.
BUFFALO

Detroit @ Denver: First off, Tim Tebow is still a heck of a leader. There’s something exciting in the Colorado air (according to my one and only friend at DU after I took a leave of absence)… oh, wait, that was the snow- six inches in 24 hours would get me excited for ski season too! As for the visiting Lions, it’ll be interesting to see how they play in snow (remember- Ford Field is an indoor stadium), and with Jahvid Best looking like he’ll have to sit out again, there’s a decent chance the Broncos will pull off another miracle. However, the forecast is expecting temperatures in the 50s, there is no snow expected once this storm system leaves (before Friday morning), and I can’t imagine Detroit losing 3 straight after starting 5-0. If you’re picking against the spread, I would stay away from this game at all costs, but since I have to make a pick, I’m going with my gut.
DETROIT

New England @ Pittsburgh: Possible ‘Game of the Week’ right here- the Steelers have a little history of winning teams, and New England had (without question) the most dominant team of the 2000s decade (2000-2009). The Pats still play much higher-scoring games; they average more points & yards than the Steelers, but also give up more points & yards. Normally, I would go with New England after a bye week, and it kills me to say this, but the Steelers have been showing up to play after a rough first few weeks and New England is starting to show its age at multiple positions. With defenses catching up to offenses (look at the decline of 300-yd passers this season), I’m going to have to go with the Steelers to beat the Patriots.
PITTSBURGH

Cincinnati @ Seattle: Horribly exciting game here- I’m not sure if anybody outside of the Seattle or Cincinnati regions could possibly care less about this matchup. The plus about being a Bengals fan, though, is that I’ll get to watch the rookie sensation AJ Green continually improve his play with rookie QB Andy Dalton. Defensively, Seattle has held two teams to under 24 points- Cleveland & Arizona. Cincinnati’s offense is significantly better than that of either the Cardinals or the Browns, and combining the offensive strength with a) an underrated defense and b) rest from a bye week, look for the Bengals to improve their pleasantly surprising record to 5-2.
CINCINNATI

Cleveland @ San Francisco: Do I really need to say anything about this? Cleveland is coming off a win, but they only managed to put up two field goals against an average Seahawks defense. The 49ers are bigger, stronger, more experienced, and at home. Expect this game to be over by halftime, definitely by the end of the 3rd quarter.
SAN FRANCISCO

Dallas @ Philadelphia: Simply looking at individual statistics, this would appear to be a huge mismatch (in favor of Philly). That couldn’t be farther from the truth, however, when you consider that Dallas has a slightly better record (3-3 overall vs. 2-4, and 3-0 vs. similar opponents compared to 2-1), and the Cowboys actually put up more points than the Eagles. I really want to take the Cowboys, seeing as they’re the underdog with a better ‘common opponent’ record. I just can’t get away from the fact that the Eagles are under a lot of pressure, they’re coming off a bye week (which always helps), and that it’s a home division matchup for them.
PHILADELPHIA

San Diego @ Kansas City: After the thrashing KC took in Week 1, everybody in the developed world jumped off the Chiefs’ bandwagon. Having said that, however, Kansas City has three straight wins notched under their belt, and Philip Rivers is not performing up to standards (neither how he played in previous seasons nor the crazy early-season pace set by quarterbacks all across the league). Would you believe that Matt Cassel has more touchdown passes than Rivers, and that Rivers also has more interceptions than touchdowns?! I feel weird saying this, but Kansas City will more than likely continue their winning ways and set up the AFC West race for some incredible drama during the second half of the season.
KANSAS CITY

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